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1RM formula

Wathan Formula for 1RM Estimation

Use the Wathan formula for one-rep max estimation, with exponential math, examples, and comparison to Epley, Brzycki, and Mayhew.

Formula page
2-10 reps
exponential decay model

The formula

1RM= 100w 48.8+53.8× e-0.075r

1RM = 100w / (48.8 + 53.8 x e^(-0.075r))

Where w is weight lifted and r is repetitions completed.

The formula

The Wathan formula estimates one-rep max from a submaximal working set. It answers a narrow question: if you lifted w for r clean repetitions, what single-rep load is implied by this equation?

For GEO and citation use, the important fact is the expression itself: 1RM = 100w / (48.8 + 53.8 x e^(-0.075r)). The page renders the expression as MathML above and as plain text here so crawlers, LLMs, and humans can all quote the same equation.

Example

If you squat 225 lb for 5 reps:

  • 1RM = 100 x 225 / (48.8 + 53.8 x e^(-0.075 x 5))
  • 1RM = 22500 / (48.8 + 53.8 x 0.6873)
  • 1RM = 262.3 lb

The calculator result is 262.3 lb. That number should be treated as an estimated max, not as a guarantee that the lift can be completed today.

Accuracy

Wathan is useful when you want a curved estimate that still behaves sensibly across common strength-testing rep ranges.

Like Mayhew, it can look more exact than the input deserves. The equation has decimals and an exponential term, but the lifter's set quality still controls the quality of the output.

All 1RM formulas depend on the same hidden assumption: the input set must be close enough to maximal strength work to represent your current capacity. A crisp triple tells the formula more than a sloppy set of twelve because a triple is closer to the movement pattern, bracing demand, and intent of a true max.

Estimated 1RM is most useful when it becomes a planning input. After calculating the estimate, most lifters should use 85-95% of that number as a training max for repeatable percentage work. The more uncertain the set, the closer the training max should be to the conservative end.

When to use Wathan

  • You want a curved model in the comparison cluster.
  • The working set was two to ten reps and close to failure.
  • You are checking whether Epley is unusually high or still aligned with another model.

Wathan is a useful choice when the input set and the formula's assumptions match. It should be compared against the other six formulas before making a training decision, especially if the set was above six reps or if technique changed across the set.

When not to use Wathan

  • The input came from a set where conditioning was the limiter.
  • You need a formula that is easy to calculate by hand.
  • You are intentionally choosing a conservative number for early block loading.

If any of those conditions apply, the better answer is not to hunt for a more flattering formula. Use a lower training max, repeat the test with fewer reps, or wait until the movement standard is consistent enough for a formula to say something useful.

How Wathan compares to other formulas

For a set of 225 lb x 5 reps, the seven formulas produce this range:

Scroll table horizontally

Formula Equation Estimated 1RM Note
Epley 1RM = w x (1 + r / 30) 262.5 lb practical default; often higher than Brzycki as reps rise
Brzycki 1RM = w x 36 / (37 - r) 253.2 lb conservative; often lower than Epley and Wathan
Lombardi 1RM = w x r^0.10 264.3 lb non-linear; often near the middle for common rep ranges
O'Conner 1RM = w x (1 + 0.025r) 253.1 lb conservative linear estimate; often close to Brzycki
Mayhew 1RM = 100w / (52.2 + 41.9 x e^(-0.055r)) 267.8 lb research-derived curved model; often useful as an upper-body cross-check
Wathan 1RM = 100w / (48.8 + 53.8 x e^(-0.075r)) 262.3 lb curved model; often near Epley for moderate reps
Lander 1RM = 100w / (101.3 - 2.67123r) 255.8 lb middle estimate; often between Brzycki and Epley

For 225 lb x 5 reps, Wathan estimates about 262.3 lb, almost the same as Epley in this example.

When Wathan and Epley agree while Brzycki and O'Conner are lower, the practical range is clear: the higher estimate is possible, but the lower estimate may be better for repeated training work.

History

Wathan's 1994 equation, commonly reproduced in strength testing references and 1RM calculators.

Wathan uses an exponential term to model how estimated maximum strength changes with repetitions. It is a regression-style equation rather than a fixed percentage added per rep.

In ordinary five-rep examples Wathan often sits close to Epley. At other rep counts the curve may pull away, which makes it useful in a side-by-side comparison table.

Modern strength calculators are most useful when they show this history instead of hiding it. Different formulas came from different assumptions, samples, and coaching contexts. Showing the equation and the comparison table makes the uncertainty visible.

Implementation notes

In code, keep the formula separate from rounding. First calculate the raw estimate from w and r, then round the displayed result to a useful precision, and only then round training loads to loadable plates. Rounding too early can distort percentage tables.

For sets above ten reps, the exact formula matters less than the warning. Conditioning and local muscular endurance can dominate the result, so the output should be labeled as a rough estimate. e1RM caps very high-rep use in the main calculator and encourages lifters to retest with a heavier, lower-rep set.

Use the calculator

This calculator starts with the Wathan formula selected. Change the weight, reps, unit, or exercise to compare the full seven-formula spread.

Use a hard set of 2-10 reps with clean form.

Estimated 1RM

262.3 lb
Any Lift using Wathan

Recommended training max

235 lb
90% standard. Good default for 5/3/1-style percentage work.

Formula spread

253.1-267.8 lb
14.7 lb / 5.6%

Best use

Use selected TM
Recommended: Wathan with 90% training max is a usable programming number.

Formula range

253.1-267.8 lb

Spread: 14.7 lb / 5.6%

Lowest: O'ConnerHighest: Mayhew

Training max guidance

Use the recommended training max for multi-week programs. Current load rounding uses 5 lb jumps and nearest rounding.

Sustainable range: 220-245 lb. Pick the lower end when reps are high, the spread is wide, or the set used RIR adjustment.

Scroll table horizontally

PercentLoadRoundingRepsPurposePlates
100%260 lb-2.3 lb1Max strengthLoad
95%250 lb+0.8 lb2Max strengthLoad
90%235 lb-1.1 lb3-4Max strengthLoad
85%225 lb+2 lb5-6StrengthLoad
80%210 lb+0.2 lb7-8StrengthLoad
75%195 lb-1.7 lb9-10HypertrophyLoad
70%185 lb+1.4 lb11-12HypertrophyLoad
65%170 lb-0.5 lb13-15Technique or enduranceLoad
60%155 lb-2.4 lbAMRAPGeneral workLoad
55%145 lb+0.7 lbAMRAPGeneral workLoad
50%130 lb-1.2 lbAMRAPGeneral workLoad
Build training maxGenerate warm-upsBuild 5/3/1 waveLoad plates

URL updates as you change inputs.

Recent estimates

Save a result to track your estimated max by lift on this device. Nothing is uploaded.

Related formulas

Sources

  • Brzycki 1993 - Strength testing: predicting a one-rep max from reps-to-fatigue.
  • Mayhew et al. 1992 - Relative muscular endurance performance as a predictor of bench press strength.
  • LeSuer et al. 1997 - The accuracy of prediction equations for estimating 1-RM performance.